Advanced Programme in Strategic Scenario Planning and Future Foresight
Strategic Management & Organizational Development

Advanced Programme in Strategic Scenario Planning and Future Foresight

The Advanced Programme in Strategic Scenario Planning and Future Foresight is a 10-day professional training programme delivered in-person or online in Strategic Management & Organizational Development, ending with a TrustGate Corporate Skills certificate of completion.

In an increasingly volatile, uncertain, complex, and ambiguous (VUCA) world, organizations can no longer rely solely on historical trends or linear planning approaches to make strategic decisions. Rapid technological innovation, geopolitical shifts, climate change, regulatory...

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10 Days Expert Instructors Certificate Included Online & In-Person

Course Overview

In an increasingly volatile, uncertain, complex, and ambiguous (VUCA) world, organizations can no longer rely solely on historical trends or linear planning approaches to make strategic decisions. Rapid technological innovation, geopolitical shifts, climate change, regulatory reforms, economic uncertainty, demographic changes, and disruptive business models require leaders to anticipate multiple possible futures and develop strategies that remain effective under different conditions. Organizations that excel in scenario planning are better prepared to identify emerging opportunities, manage strategic risks, and build long-term resilience.
The Advanced Programme in Strategic Scenario Planning and Future Foresight equips executives with the knowledge, methodologies, and practical tools to anticipate future developments, evaluate uncertainties, and develop robust strategic responses. Rather than attempting to predict a single future, participants will learn how to construct and analyze multiple plausible scenarios that inform strategic planning, investment decisions, policy development, and organizational transformation. The programme integrates internationally recognized approaches to strategic foresight, scenario planning, systems thinking, environmental scanning, trend analysis, strategic intelligence, risk management, and decision-making under uncertainty.

Learning Objectives

  • Understand the principles and methodologies of strategic scenario planning.
  • Apply strategic foresight techniques to anticipate future trends and disruptions.
  • Identify key drivers of organizational change and uncertainty.
  • Develop multiple plausible future scenarios for strategic decision-making.
  • Integrate scenario planning into organizational strategy and policy development.
  • Strengthen organizational resilience and adaptive capacity.
  • Improve executive decision-making under uncertainty.
  • Apply systems thinking to long-term strategic challenges.
  • Evaluate strategic risks and emerging opportunities.
  • Develop future-ready strategies for sustainable organizational success.

Course Content

  1. Introduction to Strategic Foresight
  2. Principles of Scenario Planning
  3. Futures Thinking versus Forecasting
  4. Why Organizations Need Scenario Planning
  5. VUCA and BANI Environments
  6. Characteristics of Future-Ready Organizations
  7. Scenario Planning Success Factors
  8. Global Best Practices in Strategic Foresight

  1. Strategic Environmental Scanning
  2. Horizon Scanning Techniques
  3. PESTLE Analysis
  4. STEEP Analysis
  5. Megatrend Identification
  6. Weak Signal Detection
  7. Emerging Issues Analysis
  8. Strategic Intelligence Gathering

  1. Drivers of Change
  2. Critical Uncertainties
  3. Trend Analysis
  4. Wild Cards and Black Swan Events
  5. Cross-Impact Analysis
  6. Systems Mapping
  7. Future Risk Identification
  8. Opportunity Analysis

  1. Scenario Planning Methodologies
  2. Scenario Matrix Development
  3. Narrative Scenario Construction
  4. Best-Case Scenarios
  5. Worst-Case Scenarios
  6. Alternative Futures
  7. Scenario Validation
  8. Scenario Documentation

  1. Decision-Making Frameworks
  2. Strategic Options Analysis
  3. Robust Decision-Making
  4. Adaptive Strategy
  5. Dynamic Strategic Planning
  6. Risk-Based Decision-Making
  7. Executive Judgement
  8. Prioritizing Strategic Responses

  1. Integrating Scenarios into Strategic Planning
  2. Strategy Stress Testing
  3. Strategy Resilience Assessment
  4. Strategic Portfolio Analysis
  5. Policy Development
  6. Resource Allocation
  7. Investment Planning
  8. Strategic Flexibility

  1. Digital Disruption
  2. Artificial Intelligence and Future Organizations
  3. Future Workforce Trends
  4. Sustainability and ESG
  5. Smart Organizations
  6. Innovation Ecosystems
  7. Industry 5.0
  8. Future Business Models
  9. ________________________________________

  1. Enterprise Risk Management
  2. Strategic Risk Assessment
  3. Crisis Preparedness
  4. Business Continuity
  5. Organizational Resilience
  6. Adaptive Governance
  7. Early Warning Systems
  8. Resilience Metrics

  1. National Development Scenarios
  2. Public Policy Foresight
  3. Corporate Scenario Planning
  4. Board-Level Foresight
  5. Strategic Governance
  6. Future-Oriented Leadership
  7. Stakeholder Engagement
  8. International Case Studies

  1. Scenario Development Workshop
  2. Strategic Foresight Simulation
  3. Organizational Future Mapping
  4. Executive Strategy Testing
  5. Group Scenario Presentations
  6. Peer Review
  7. Future Readiness Assessment
  8. Executive Action Plan

Who Should Attend?

  • Chief Executive Officers (CEOs)
  • Board Members
  • Managing Directors
  • Executive Directors
  • Directors General
  • Cabinet Secretaries and Principal Secretaries
  • County Executive Committee Members (CECMs)
  • Strategy Directors
  • Corporate Planning Managers
  • Risk Management Professionals
  • Policy Analysts
  • Public Sector Executives
  • Development Partners
  • Business Development Executives
  • Innovation Managers
  • Organizational Development Specialists
  • Researchers and Strategic Planning Consultants

Training Methodology

  • Executive masterclasses
  • Futures laboratories
  • Scenario planning workshops
  • Executive simulations
  • International case studies
  • Horizon scanning exercises
  • Group scenario development
  • Strategy stress-testing workshops
  • Peer learning and executive coaching
  • Organizational action planning

Your facilitators

Dr. Riungu Festus Kinyua, PhD, Mkim

Dr. Riungu Festus Kinyua, PhD, Mkim

Director, Lead Consultant

Dr. Riungu Festus Kinyua is an experienced strategic management and leadership consultant, executive trainer, educator and researcher with over three decades of experience in education administration, management, higher education, research and professional training.

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Mr Isaac Gachomo Wamwago

Mr Isaac Gachomo Wamwago

Trainer

Isaac has served as a trainer and facilitator with various professional training and development institutions, delivering programmes

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What's Included

Certificate of completion
Training materials included
Lunch and refreshments (physical)
Post-training support

Certification

Certificate in Strategic Scenario Planning and Future Foresight

Issued by: TRUSTGATE CORPORATE SKILLS

Frequently Asked Questions

How long is the Advanced Programme in Strategic Scenario Planning and Future Foresight training?

The Advanced Programme in Strategic Scenario Planning and Future Foresight runs for 10 Days. Each day combines expert-led teaching with practical, hands-on exercises so participants can apply what they learn immediately.

Is the Advanced Programme in Strategic Scenario Planning and Future Foresight delivered online or in-person?

This course is delivered in person (scheduled venues include Mombasa, Kigali, Dar es Salaam, Lilongwe), live online, or in-house at your organisation.

How much does the Advanced Programme in Strategic Scenario Planning and Future Foresight cost?

The fee is US$1,200 per person online and US$2,800 per person in person. In-person fees depend on the participant's country; the pricing card on this page shows the fee for yours.

When is the next Advanced Programme in Strategic Scenario Planning and Future Foresight training?

The next scheduled session runs from 9 November 2026 to 20 November 2026 in Mombasa, Kenya. You can also request a custom date or an in-house session for your team.

Do I get a certificate after completing the Advanced Programme in Strategic Scenario Planning and Future Foresight?

Yes. Participants who complete the Advanced Programme in Strategic Scenario Planning and Future Foresight receive a certificate of completion from TRUSTGATE CORPORATE SKILLS.

What will I learn in the Advanced Programme in Strategic Scenario Planning and Future Foresight?

Key learning outcomes include: Understand the principles and methodologies of strategic scenario planning; Apply strategic foresight techniques to anticipate future trends and disruptions; Identify key drivers of organizational change and uncertainty; Develop multiple plausible future scenarios for strategic decision-making; Integrate scenario planning into organizational strategy and policy development.